Mountaineers Big 12 Tournament landing spot odds

There are 10 seeds in the Big 12 Tournament. With only one game remaining before they embark to Kansas City to participate in their eighth Big 12 Tournament, the West Virginia Mountaineers could hold any one of five of them.

The Mountaineers (20-10, 8-9 Big 12) could be as high as a No. 3 seed and as low as a No. 7 seed when they hit Kansas City next week. Their landing spot in the tournament is dependent on not only the outcome of their home game against No. 4 Baylor, but also the results of a number of other Big 12 match ups on Saturday.

Obviously the higher the seed West Virginia obtains the better. But not all seeding differences are the same. The biggest gap is between seeds No. 6 and No. 7. The reason being a top six seed is so important is that seeds seven through 10 don’t get a bye and have to play in the tournament’s opening round on Wednesday night.

Here’s a look at the route available to each possible seed.

WVU is a No. 3 seed if:

  • West Virginia beats Baylor and
  • Texas Tech loses at home to Kansas and
  • Texas loses at home to Oklahoma St and
  • Oklahoma loses at TCU

Likelihood of this happening (all odds per ESPN BPI): 5 percent

WVU is at least a No. 4 seed if:

  • West Virginia beats Baylor and
  • Oklahoma loses at TCU and
  • Texas Tech loses at home to Kansas or
  • Texas loses at home to Oklahoma State

Likelihood of this happening: 22 percent

WVU is at least a No. 5 seed if:

  • West Virginia beats Baylor and
  • Oklahoma loses at TCU

Likelihood of this happening: 26 percent

WVU is at least a No. 6 seed if:

  • West Virginia beats Baylor or
  • TCU loses at home to Oklahoma

Likelihood of this happening: 77 percent

WVU is a No. 7 seed if:

  • West Virginia loses to Baylor and
  • Oklahoma loses at TCU

Likelihood of this happening: 23 percent